Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.028403 0.030492 0.032671 0.035117 0.037789 0.040623 0.043861
2025-06-08 0.024509 0.027413 0.030597 0.034359 0.038698 0.043563 0.049458
2025-06-15 0.022058 0.025437 0.029283 0.034008 0.039693 0.046355 0.054817
2025-06-22 0.020247 0.023925 0.028239 0.033711 0.040527 0.048814 0.059769
2025-06-29 0.018649 0.022485 0.027096 0.033104 0.040811 0.050481 0.063715
2025-07-06 0.017759 0.021812 0.026796 0.033454 0.042235 0.053585 0.069646
2025-07-13 0.016850 0.021031 0.026279 0.033446 0.043132 0.055996 0.074760
2025-07-20 0.016212 0.020544 0.026085 0.033812 0.044505 0.059079 0.080978
2025-07-27 0.015432 0.019816 0.025517 0.033615 0.045059 0.061025 0.085668
2025-08-03 0.014724 0.019139 0.024968 0.033393 0.045534 0.062848 0.090263
2025-08-10 0.014093 0.018528 0.024468 0.033193 0.046003 0.064658 0.094931
2025-08-17 0.013545 0.018000 0.024050 0.033074 0.046561 0.066604 0.099921
2025-08-24 0.012915 0.017334 0.023411 0.032607 0.046583 0.067754 0.103755
2025-08-31 0.012294 0.016653 0.022719 0.032020 0.046382 0.068531 0.107021
2025-09-07 0.011806 0.016140 0.022241 0.031723 0.046596 0.069959 0.111465
2025-09-14 0.011363 0.015670 0.021802 0.031456 0.046832 0.071415 0.116047
2025-09-21 0.010869 0.015106 0.021198 0.030899 0.046564 0.072014 0.119135
2025-09-28 0.010646 0.014930 0.021162 0.031222 0.047728 0.075060 0.126868
2025-10-05 0.010350 0.014633 0.020928 0.031214 0.048340 0.077190 0.133069
2025-10-12 0.010159 0.014484 0.020912 0.031550 0.049538 0.080405 0.141585
2025-10-19 0.009851 0.014147 0.020590 0.031369 0.049840 0.082039 0.147154
2025-10-26 0.009556 0.013816 0.020264 0.031165 0.050084 0.083576 0.152644
2025-11-02 0.009280 0.013508 0.019960 0.030982 0.050349 0.085158 0.158347